Insights

The forces. Not the headlines.

Analysis and commentary on markets, companies, and the forces that move them.

Investor Psychology & Behavior

How Herding Changed Once Information Became Abundant

Herding has always been understood as copying what other people decide. Once the supply of information vastly exceeds anyone's capacity to process it, herding changes shape. What gets copied is no longer other people's positions but their attention.

July 24, 20263 min read
Investor Psychology & Behavior

Why Optimism Is Hardest to Recognise at the End of a Bull Market

That optimism peaks near market highs is almost self-evident in hindsight. The difficulty is that at the time, optimism never arrives dressed as optimism. It presents itself as a calm reading of the facts.

July 24, 20263 min read